Towards the NASA UQ Challenge 2019: Systematically forward and inverse approaches for uncertainty propagation and quantification

نویسندگان

چکیده

• A dedicated paper addressing the NASA Uncertainty Quantification Challenge 2019. Subproblems are solved according their forward or inverse features. Decoupling two-loop uncertainty propagation approach for procedures. Bayesian framework with statistical calibration metric Parallel computation and adaptive surrogate optimization to reduce calculation cost. This is exploring Langley on Optimization under by proposing a series of approaches both treatment quantification. The primary effort placed categorization subproblems as be procedures, such that techniques proposed two directions, respectively. sensitivity analysis reliability categorized while modal & reduction, reliability-based optimization, risk-based design regarded For overall based imprecise probability characterization where aleatory epistemic uncertainties investigated inputs, consequently, output described probability-box (P-box). Theoretic development focused definition comprehensive quantification criteria from limited irregular time-domain observations extract much possible information, which will significant procedure refine models. Furthermore, decoupling investigate P-box along directions decoupled, thus designed propagate through systematic model. key successfully this challenge in obtaining balance among an appropriate hypothesis input model, criterion quantification, computational viable treatment.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1096-1216', '0888-3270']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2021.108387